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2024-12-14 08:43:22

At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.


In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.The concept of providing for the aged and the concept of silver-haired economy also belong to the big consumption field, so there are still many sub-sectors in the consumption sector that are worth exploring, and this field has a broad prospect. After all, the aging process will accelerate again, and the certainty of the foreseeable future is still relatively large.Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.


Nine departments issued "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for Chinese-style Endowment Service for High-quality Development of Silver-haired Economy"At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.Heavy news came from the National Development and Reform Commission.

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